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Kerr's Early Dominance May Have Been Her Undoing

This year's US Women's Open began the weekend featuring three American players - two of them prominent stars on the LPGA Tour in Cristie Kerr and Paula Creamer.  The Saturday round proved to be the undoing of Creamer's chances as a 79 squandered any real shot of claiming the title.  Kerr, though, was resolute and inspired by the opportunity to capture her second US Women's Open in three years.  Playing the third round almost impeccably, Kerr was basically coronated as champion before she began the final round on Sunday.

Kerr let the pressure get to her on Sunday, though.  She came out and bogeyed the par 5 first hole to reduce her lead immeidately.  She struck back with a birdie at the third hole, but that was the only red mark on her card for the entire final round.  As Dave Shedloski notes on USWomensOpen.com, the decisive blow against Kerr was self-inflicted.  A three putt bogey on the 16th cost her the championship - or at least a chance as good as when she began the round.

The curious thing about Kerr's performance, though, was that her 18 hole score each round got worse throughout the championship.  It was a fact that seemed to go largely unnoticed to the commentators and writers that had handed her the championship before Sunday play. 

Winning a championship from the front of the pack is tough enough.  To do it as a frontrunner for almost all of the championship is even more difficult.  It is no coincidence that Tiger Woods has rarely won a major championship going wire-to-wire.  The meltdowns of many players over the years in trying to capture a major title in wire-to-wire fashion indicates how difficult of a task it is. 

Perhaps conventional wisdom would be that a player would feel more comfortable with the lead with every passing hole that they have it.  That does not seem to hold true, though.  The notion of "hanging on" is a tough one to come to grips with in any sport.  But in golf, where there is no teammate to bail a player out, the lead spot on the scoreboard can be an island.

Dottie Pepper aluded to this in defining the difference between Kerr's 2007 US Women's Open win at Pine Needles and this year at Saucon Valley.  Kerr assumed the 54 hole lead, but only after the third round was completed on Sunday morning.  There was no overnight rest to consider the possibilities - good and bad - of the day to come.  The rush to finish may well have helped Kerr, who has shown a propensity to collapse under major championship pressure on three occasions in the last two years.

Kerr is known as a mentally-resilient player and she prides herself on her ability to not make mental errors.  She never made the big number or the big mistake this week.  In fact, her three-putt bogey at 16 on Sunday was her first of the week.  Rather, her undoing may well have been trying so hard to focus on the mental aspect that her mechanics suffered.  Kerr grew wayward off of the tee throughout the round.  Her usually dependable iron swings seemed to get out of whack as she got closer to the clubhouse.

Kerr seemed like a golfer who was playing to "hang on," instead of a golfer looking to surge past the entire field.  That may well have created the opening that allowed a handful of other players into contention on Sunday, and for Eun Hee Ji to ultimately overtake her.

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Curious

As you note no one made mention of how Cristie’s scoring got worse from round to round or the simple fact that while she did after each day, that she never got more than 3 strokes ahead at any point. 3 strokes can be made up in a hurry on a US Open golf course. Can anyone name the U.S. Open champion who began a playoff bogey-triple bogey but still ended up the winner? It isn’t ancient history either.

by Bill Jempty on Jul 13, 2009 11:13 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

(ahem – I pointed it out) :-)

"this ball will fit in that fairway"

by courtgolf on Jul 13, 2009 11:15 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

"I just didn't play well"

That sums it up. Pointing to her early play as the reason she didn’t win is nonsense. By the time the cameras came on she WAS hanging on. For whatever reason – and I will claim the curse of Johnny Miller just because I like the sound of it – Kerr’s game was just a little off on Sunday.

Is it tough to win wire to wire ? Sure. But Kerr didn’t win wire to wire – she didn’t have the lead after the first round.

Do some players like coming from behind ? Of course. You bring up Tiger Woods – but he is the biggest front runner in history. You give him a lead on the weekend and he’s going to close out most of the time – especially on Sunday. A “come from behind” win is something that happens down the stretch, or at least on the last day. Taking lead in the 3rd round doesn’t really count as a “come from behind” win.

Dottie Pepper’s thought makes a little sense – except that Kerr is no rookie. She has had to sleep on the lead before – regardless of 2007. She only had to nap on the lead then, getting in a few zzz’s before starting the final round. :-)

I kind of doubt that Kerr went out with the attitude of hanging on – but the mistakes sure put her in that mindset. Playing for 18 pars isn’t as easy as it sounds, and I’m guessing that Kerr is too smart for that. She wanted a birdie to open the round and stretch her lead and the bogey mucked things up.

"this ball will fit in that fairway"

by courtgolf on Jul 13, 2009 11:15 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

She did say on Saturday that she would be proud of an under-par final round. Really, she only needed to shoot one over to win the thing. I think the opening bogey put her on the defensive right away, knowing that the course was set up to induce birdies.

Email me any comments or questions at ryan@thegolfnewsnet.com.

by Ryan Ballengee on Jul 13, 2009 11:21 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

well there you go – believe the player and not the speculative media. Kerr knew it would be tough.

set up to induce birdies ? hmm. Maybe to induce fewer bogies ? :-D

"this ball will fit in that fairway"

by courtgolf on Jul 13, 2009 11:32 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think fewer bogies is probably more accurate!

Email me any comments or questions at ryan@thegolfnewsnet.com.

by Ryan Ballengee on Jul 13, 2009 11:49 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

combining two posts...

…we brought up that Kerr’s scores went up each day in this post…and in another post, we talked about how the USGA shortened the course each day, with Sunday being the “easiest” course to play, lenght-wise.

When you talk about most US Open winners, the phrase “plays tough courses well” usually comes up. Kerr is definitely a tough course player. No way to get an answer on this, but is it possible that the shorter the course got, the tougher it was for her to keep the ball in play ? She wasn’t hitting fairway woods on Sunday, she was hitting driver through the fairway on dogleg right holes, etc.

"this ball will fit in that fairway"

by courtgolf on Jul 14, 2009 9:35 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

That’s definitely a decent theory. I mean, there’s a reason why Ben Curtis stinks 3/4 of the season and then emerges atop major championship leaderboards when the course is playing near par.

Email me any comments or questions at ryan@thegolfnewsnet.com.

by Ryan Ballengee on Jul 14, 2009 10:13 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

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