You were right (all of you who said this would happen), I was wrong: Tiger Woods is skipping Jack Nicklaus' Memorial tournament. The PGA Tour revealed today that it has been notified by Tiger's peeps that he will not enter The Memorial.

To me, this means Woods simply doesn't feel ready for tournament golf yet. It means the knee is taking on the long side of the doctors' estimates to heal. And that Tiger is being very cautious.

So his first tournament back after the knee surgery would appear to be the U.S. Open. A couple years ago, following the death of his father, Woods spent a couple months away prior to the U.S. Open, returning at Winged Foot. And missed the cut. This year he will (in all likelihood) return at the U.S. Open, but to a very different course, one not nearly as punishing, one with which Woods is extremely familiar and comfortable. Torrey Pines. I doubt we'll see another missed cut. But Woods no longer looks like an overwhelming favorite to win the Open at Torrey Pines.